Patuxent 1-3 Charlottesville Blues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 21 May 2026

📅21/05/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
5.34
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
70%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
4%
X/2
29%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
33%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
15%
-3.8pp
18%
Draw
19%
-0.4pp
70%
Away Win
66%
+4.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.9pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patuxent EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlottesville Blues EU Bookmakers 70%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.70/4.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+56% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -46%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
272 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 430 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patuxent
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Charlottesville Blues
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.07.2024 Charlottesville Blues 1-0 HT 1-0 Patuxent USL2
POST-MATCH Patuxent vs Charlottesville Blues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlottesville Blues beat Patuxent 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Charlottesville Blues as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Patuxent vs Charlottesville Blues?

Patuxent 1-3 Charlottesville Blues in the USA - USL League 2 on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patuxent vs Charlottesville Blues?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlottesville Blues win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Patuxent 12%, draw 18%, Charlottesville Blues 70%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlottesville Blues), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlottesville Blues) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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