Detroit City 2-1 Miami FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 21 May 2026

📅21/05/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 29% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-1.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-1.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Detroit City EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Miami FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+7% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.57/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.60
-4% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
16.3 Crosses 15.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Detroit City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Miami FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.97 xG 0.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 2
348 Passes 333
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
21.06.2025 Detroit City Detroit City 2-0 HT 1-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
09.03.2025 Miami FC Miami FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
30.06.2024 Miami FC Miami FC 0-4 HT 0-1 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
10.09.2023 Detroit City Detroit City 2-1 HT 1-0 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
16.04.2023 Miami FC Miami FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Detroit City Detroit City USLP
15.10.2022 Detroit City Detroit City 0-1 HT 0-1 Miami FC Miami FC USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Detroit City
2-1
AWAY Miami FC
1.08 xG 0.52
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
222 Passes 345
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 6
FAQ Detroit City vs Miami FC
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Detroit City edged past Miami FC 2-1 in the USL Championship on 21 May 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Detroit City had 42% of the ball to Miami FC's 58%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 1.08 to 0.52.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Detroit City have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Detroit City and 0.33 for Miami FC.

What was the final score of Detroit City vs Miami FC?

Detroit City 2-1 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Detroit City vs Miami FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Detroit City win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Detroit City 57%, draw 25%, Miami FC 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Detroit City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Detroit City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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