New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New Mexico United v Tampa Bay Rowdies — Team-Based Signals
New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
3-2
HT 1-1
New Mexico United
USLP
New Mexico United 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies — Actual Match Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies nicked a narrow win over New Mexico United 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Tampa Bay Rowdies as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, New Mexico United had 61% of the ball to Tampa Bay Rowdies's 39%, shots finished 9-18, expected goals 0.81 to 1.83.
What was the final score of New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
New Mexico United 0-1 Tampa Bay Rowdies in the USL Championship on 21/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New Mexico United vs Tampa Bay Rowdies?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tampa Bay Rowdies win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split New Mexico United 29%, draw 25%, Tampa Bay Rowdies 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tampa Bay Rowdies), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.