Changning Flying Lions 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 21 Jun 2024

📅21/06/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
12.23
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
59%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
3.14
Over 2.5
57%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
19%
X/X
5%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
6%
+16.3pp
19%
Draw
13%
+5.3pp
59%
Away Win
81%
-21.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
28%
+14.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
72%
-14.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changning Flying Lions EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 85%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -60% / -60%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.29
+44% / +143% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +129%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 485 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Changning Flying Lions vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changning Flying Lions and Chengdu Qianbao shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chengdu Qianbao at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Changning Flying Lions vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Changning Flying Lions 1-1 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changning Flying Lions vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Changning Flying Lions 22%, draw 19%, Chengdu Qianbao 59%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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