21/06/2024
·
12:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
Guangxi Hengchen vs Shanghai Port Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
41%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
6%
21%
Draw
15%
62%
Away Win
80%
44%
Under 2.5
35%
56%
Over 2.5
65%
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
54%
BTTS No
57%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guangxi Hengchen v Shanghai Port — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Guangxi Hengchen
EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY
Shanghai Port
EU Bookmakers 84%
+96% /
+96%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-8% /
-8%
2.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.92/0.37
+150%
/
+143%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-28%
/
+88%
40%
Ball Possession
60%
9
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Target
6
3
Corners
7
247 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
464 · 86%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Guangxi Hengchen vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Shanghai Port saw off Guangxi Hengchen 2-0 away from home.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Shanghai Port as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Guangxi Hengchen vs Shanghai Port?
Guangxi Hengchen 0-2 Shanghai Port in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guangxi Hengchen vs Shanghai Port?
Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Port win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Guangxi Hengchen 17%, draw 21%, Shanghai Port 62%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shanghai Port), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Shanghai Port)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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ÇİNK
More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup
21 Jun 2024