Gomel 1-2 Shakhtyor Soligorsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 21 Jun 2024

📅21/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.61
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-13.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+12.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gomel EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtyor Soligorsk EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.19/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.14
+14% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +54%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
417 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gomel
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Shakhtyor Soligorsk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Gomel Gomel 3-2 HT 2-0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
15.04.2023 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1-1 HT 1-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
25.02.2023 Gomel Gomel 0-1 HT 0-1 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BRUSK
02.05.2022 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Gomel Gomel BLR
28.11.2021 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk 0-1 HT 0-1 Gomel Gomel BLR
27.10.2021 Gomel Gomel 2-3 HT 1-0 Shakhtyor Soligorsk Shakhtyor Soligorsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gomel
1-2
AWAY Shakhtyor Soligorsk
53% Ball Possession 47%
22 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gomel vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtyor Soligorsk squeezed past Gomel 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Gomel at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Gomel had 53% of the ball to Shakhtyor Soligorsk's 47%, shots finished 22-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtyor Soligorsk led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gomel and 1.33 for Shakhtyor Soligorsk.

What was the final score of Gomel vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk?

Gomel 1-2 Shakhtyor Soligorsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gomel vs Shakhtyor Soligorsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Gomel 48%, draw 24%, Shakhtyor Soligorsk 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gomel)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BLR More Belarus - Premier League
21 Jun 2024
18:00 Smorgon vs Slutsk Analysis →