21/06/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-1
Melhus vs Mosjöen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
74%
15%
Draw
15%
17%
Away Win
11%
31%
Under 2.5
28%
69%
Over 2.5
72%
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
40%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melhus v Mosjöen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Melhus
EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mosjöen
EU Bookmakers 14%
-26% /
-26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-3% /
-3%
1.85/1.15
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.65/4.19
-41%
/
-6%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-40%
/
-26%
60%
Ball Possession
40%
18
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
3
487 · 85%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
297 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
3.1
Yellow Cards
1.2
POST-MATCH
Melhus vs Mosjöen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Melhus swept aside Mosjöen 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melhus as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (69%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.
What was the final score of Melhus vs Mosjöen?
Melhus 3-0 Mosjöen in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melhus vs Mosjöen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melhus win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Melhus 68%, draw 15%, Mosjöen 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melhus), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Melhus)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
21 Jun 2024