21/06/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-1
SK Traeff vs Kristiansund II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
71%
21%
Draw
18%
18%
Away Win
11%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SK Traeff v Kristiansund II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
SK Traeff
EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY
Kristiansund II
EU Bookmakers 14%
+12% /
+12%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+3% /
+3%
4.25/0.43
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.69/2.48
+36%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-35%
/
+27%
57%
Ball Possession
43%
17
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
423 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
263 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.5
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
SK Traeff vs Kristiansund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
SK Traeff ran out comfortable winners over Kristiansund II 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had SK Traeff as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of SK Traeff vs Kristiansund II?
SK Traeff 4-0 Kristiansund II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SK Traeff vs Kristiansund II?
Before kick-off our model rated a SK Traeff win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split SK Traeff 61%, draw 21%, Kristiansund II 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SK Traeff), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (SK Traeff)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
21 Jun 2024