Dalian Zhixing 1-1 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
51%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.02
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
2.91
6+ Goals
8%
8.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.54
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
23.3
1/X
4%
13.2
X/1
10%
6.88
X/2
14%
5.25
X/X
14%
5.39
2/1
4%
29.0
2/2
25%
2.99
2/X
4%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.3 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-3.8pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.0pp
51%
Away Win
43%
+7.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dalian Zhixing
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.44 xG 1.92
29% Ball Possession 71%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 1
152 Passes 535
64% Pass Accuracy 88%
21 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.05.2025 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 0-2 HT 0-2 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
POST-MATCH Dalian Zhixing vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing and Beijing Guoan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Beijing Guoan at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

What was the final score of Dalian Zhixing vs Beijing Guoan?

Dalian Zhixing 1-1 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dalian Zhixing vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Dalian Zhixing 28%, draw 21%, Beijing Guoan 51%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beijing Guoan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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