Qingdao Jonoon 2-1 Guangxi Hengchen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 21 Jun 2025

Qingdao Jonoon
2-1 HT 2-0
Guangxi Hengchen
📅21/06/2025 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup – 2025

Qingdao Jonoon vs Guangxi Hengchen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
1.86
Over 2.5
59%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.11
2-3 Goals
35%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.48
6+ Goals
15%
13.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.48 — our 27% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.24
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
14.45
X/1
15%
4.24
X/2
8%
9.59
X/X
8%
4.98
2/1
6%
24.2
2/2 EV+ ✗
23%
7.84
2/X
11%
16.1
Value flag · 2/2 at 7.84 — our 23% vs market 9.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-11.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
34%
Away Win
20%
+14.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
50%
-9.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
50%
+9.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Qingdao Jonoon v Guangxi Hengchen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Qingdao Jonoon EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Guangxi Hengchen EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
395 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Qingdao Jonoon vs Guangxi Hengchen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Jonoon edged past Guangxi Hengchen 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Qingdao Jonoon as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Qingdao Jonoon vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Qingdao Jonoon 2-1 Guangxi Hengchen in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Qingdao Jonoon vs Guangxi Hengchen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Qingdao Jonoon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Qingdao Jonoon 43%, draw 23%, Guangxi Hengchen 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Qingdao Jonoon) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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