Belshina 0-1 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.0pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belshina EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 39%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.30/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.94
-20% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -50%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belshina
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.07.2023 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 3-1 HT 2-1 Belshina Belshina BLRK
06.08.2022 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 4-3 HT 1-0 Belshina Belshina BLR
02.10.2021 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 3-1 HT 0-0 Belshina Belshina BLR1
18.07.2021 Belshina Belshina 4-1 HT 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR1
30.04.2021 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-2 HT 1-0 Belshina Belshina BLR1
07.02.2018 Belshina Belshina 1-1 HT 1-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belshina
0-1
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Belshina vs Dnepr Mogilev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Mogilev nicked a narrow win over Belshina 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 38% — and on the day Dnepr Mogilev made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Belshina had 56% of the ball to Dnepr Mogilev's 44%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dnepr Mogilev led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Belshina and 2.17 for Dnepr Mogilev.

What was the final score of Belshina vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Belshina 0-1 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - 1st Division on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belshina vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dnepr Mogilev win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Belshina 37%, draw 25%, Dnepr Mogilev 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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