Niva Dolbizno 2-4 Lokomotiv Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
26%
Away Win
30%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.4pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Niva Dolbizno EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.41/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.73
+49% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Niva Dolbizno
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.08.2024 Niva Dolbizno Niva Dolbizno 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Niva Dolbizno
2-4
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel
67% Ball Possession 33%
15 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Niva Dolbizno vs Lokomotiv Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Gomel saw off Niva Dolbizno 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Niva Dolbizno at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Niva Dolbizno had 67% of the ball to Lokomotiv Gomel's 33%, shots finished 15-8.

What was the final score of Niva Dolbizno vs Lokomotiv Gomel?

Niva Dolbizno 2-4 Lokomotiv Gomel in the Belarus - 1st Division on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Niva Dolbizno vs Lokomotiv Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Niva Dolbizno win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Niva Dolbizno 46%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv Gomel 26%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Niva Dolbizno) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Niva Dolbizno) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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