Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4-1 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-9.1pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.6pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 18%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.62/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.80
+61% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
367 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 74%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
13.9 Crosses 14.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Guabira
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.35 xG 2.05
57% Ball Possession 43%
26 Total Shots 20
10 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 9
318 Passes 193
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.11.2024 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 5-0 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
28.07.2024 Guabira Guabira 1-0 HT 0-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gualberto Villarroel SJ
4-1
AWAY Guabira
2.92 xG 1.53
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 15
11 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 0
378 Passes 436
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
30 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gualberto Villarroel SJ ran out comfortable winners over Guabira 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gualberto Villarroel SJ as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Gualberto Villarroel SJ had 48% of the ball to Guabira's 52%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 2.92 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Gualberto Villarroel SJ and 0.50 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabira?

Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4-1 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gualberto Villarroel SJ vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gualberto Villarroel SJ win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Gualberto Villarroel SJ 57%, draw 23%, Guabira 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gualberto Villarroel SJ) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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