Guabira 1-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guabira EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guabira
1-0
AWAY Gualberto Villarroel SJ
2.80 xG 0.86
46% Ball Possession 54%
28 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
14 Corners 1
150 Passes 227
61% Pass Accuracy 71%
44 Box Touches 15
35 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guabira vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guabira nicked a narrow win over Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guabira as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Guabira had 46% of the ball to Gualberto Villarroel SJ's 54%, shots finished 28-13, expected goals 2.80 to 0.86 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Guabira's control.

What was the final score of Guabira vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Guabira 1-0 Gualberto Villarroel SJ in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guabira vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guabira win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Guabira 51%, draw 24%, Gualberto Villarroel SJ 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guabira) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guabira) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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