The Strongest 1-1 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 28 Jul 2024

The Strongest
1-1 HT 1-1
Aurora
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme – 2024

The Strongest vs Aurora Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

The Strongest v Aurora — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The Strongest EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 20%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -5%
1.29/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.07
-4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 70%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
12.6 Crosses 11.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8

The Strongest vs Aurora Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The Strongest
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aurora
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.12 xG 1.28
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
284 Passes 268
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Aurora Aurora 0-3 HT 0-2 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
10.08.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 0-1 HT 0-0 Aurora Aurora BOLPLK
07.05.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 2-2 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
06.10.2022 Aurora Aurora 0-0 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
21.05.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 1-0 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
12.04.2022 Aurora Aurora 1-0 HT 0-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ

The Strongest 1-1 Aurora — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The Strongest
1-1
AWAY Aurora
2.24 xG 0.24
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
378 Passes 136
81% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH The Strongest vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Strongest and Aurora couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was The Strongest at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, The Strongest had 68% of the ball to Aurora's 32%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 2.24 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for The Strongest and 0.67 for Aurora.

What was the final score of The Strongest vs Aurora?

The Strongest 1-1 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The Strongest vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split The Strongest 52%, draw 25%, Aurora 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (The Strongest), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (The Strongest) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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