Paradou 1-3 Mostaganem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
46%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.1
6+ Goals
8%
20.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 36% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+6.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.0pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paradou EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Mostaganem EU Bookmakers 56%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+69% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paradou
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Mostaganem
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2024 Mostaganem Mostaganem 0-2 HT 0-1 Paradou Paradou CZYR
28.04.2023 Paradou Paradou 2-1 HT 1-0 Mostaganem Mostaganem CZYRK
POST-MATCH Paradou vs Mostaganem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostaganem saw off Paradou 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mostaganem as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Paradou had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Paradou and 0.50 for Mostaganem.

What was the final score of Paradou vs Mostaganem?

Paradou 1-3 Mostaganem in the Algeria - 1st Division on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paradou vs Mostaganem?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mostaganem win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Paradou 29%, draw 25%, Mostaganem 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mostaganem) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mostaganem) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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