USM Khenchela 1-0 El Bayadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.6pp
34%
Draw
27%
+7.1pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.22/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.24
-10% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +3%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM Khenchela
2W-0D-3L
AWAY El Bayadh
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
28.12.2024 El Bayadh El Bayadh 1-2 HT 0-1 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
26.04.2024 El Bayadh El Bayadh 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
08.12.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-0 HT 1-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
25.02.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-1 HT 0-1 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
09.09.2022 El Bayadh El Bayadh 2-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
POST-MATCH USM Khenchela vs El Bayadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela squeezed past El Bayadh 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had USM Khenchela as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, El Bayadh led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for USM Khenchela and 1.00 for El Bayadh.

What was the final score of USM Khenchela vs El Bayadh?

USM Khenchela 1-0 El Bayadh in the Algeria - 1st Division on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM Khenchela vs El Bayadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM Khenchela win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split USM Khenchela 46%, draw 34%, El Bayadh 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM Khenchela), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM Khenchela) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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