El Bayadh 1-2 USM Khenchela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 1st Division, 28 Dec 2024

📅28/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.96
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
1.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
14%
5.95
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
47%
-9.8pp
34%
Draw
30%
+3.6pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+6.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Bayadh EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY USM Khenchela EU Bookmakers 27%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.19/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/2.21
-9% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / -50%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Bayadh
3W-0D-1L
AWAY USM Khenchela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 0
26.04.2024 El Bayadh El Bayadh 1-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
08.12.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 2-0 HT 1-0 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
25.02.2023 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela 0-1 HT 0-1 El Bayadh El Bayadh CZYR
09.09.2022 El Bayadh El Bayadh 2-0 HT 1-0 USM Khenchela USM Khenchela CZYR
POST-MATCH El Bayadh vs USM Khenchela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM Khenchela edged past El Bayadh 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 34% / 29%) promised a tight game; USM Khenchela found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, El Bayadh had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for El Bayadh and 0.50 for USM Khenchela.

What was the final score of El Bayadh vs USM Khenchela?

El Bayadh 1-2 USM Khenchela in the Algeria - 1st Division on 28/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Bayadh vs USM Khenchela?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Bayadh win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split El Bayadh 37%, draw 34%, USM Khenchela 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (El Bayadh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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