Guatemala 0-1 Panama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Gold Cup, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
53%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.66
2-3 Goals
44%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
3.44
6+ Goals
7%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 29% vs market 22.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
8.79
1/2
9%
22.9
1/X
4%
16.8
X/1
12%
10.8
X/2
9%
4.18
X/X
14%
5.43
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
34%
2.05
2/X
6%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-4.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guatemala EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Panama EU Bookmakers 62%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-47% / +81% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.4 Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guatemala
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Panama
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.42 xG 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
308 Passes 359
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2023 Panama Panama 3-0 HT 1-0 Guatemala Guatemala CON
11.09.2023 Guatemala Guatemala 1-1 HT 0-1 Panama Panama CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guatemala
0-1
AWAY Panama
32% Ball Possession 68%
3 Total Shots 21
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
265 Passes 647
80% Pass Accuracy 92%
POST-MATCH Guatemala vs Panama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panama squeezed past Guatemala 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Panama as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Guatemala had 32% of the ball to Panama's 68%, shots finished 3-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Panama led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Guatemala and 2.00 for Panama.

What was the final score of Guatemala vs Panama?

Guatemala 0-1 Panama in the CONCACAF Gold Cup on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guatemala vs Panama?

Before kick-off our model rated an Panama win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Guatemala 23%, draw 24%, Panama 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panama), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Panama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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