Jamaika 2-1 Guadeloupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CONCACAF Gold Cup, 21 Jun 2025

Jamaika
2-1 HT 2-1
Guadeloupe
📅21/06/2025 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
CONCACAF Gold Cup – 2025

Jamaika vs Guadeloupe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.82
No
46%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.84
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.33
6+ Goals
12%
11.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.33 — our 26% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.94
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.7
X/1
14%
4.07
X/2
12%
11.65
X/X
10%
5.82
2/1
5%
22.45
2/2
9%
9.55
2/X
7%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.0pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.6pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+8.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jamaika v Guadeloupe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jamaika EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Guadeloupe EU Bookmakers 21%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.62/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/4.07
-47% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -54%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
421 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
14.0 Crosses 10.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.6

Jamaika vs Guadeloupe Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jamaika
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Guadeloupe
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.06 xG 0.18
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
321 Passes 259
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 6
12 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.07.2021 Guadeloupe Guadeloupe 1-2 HT 1-1 Jamaika Jamaika GK

Jamaika 2-1 Guadeloupe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jamaika
2-1
AWAY Guadeloupe
0.80 xG 2.12
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
289 Passes 304
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jamaika vs Guadeloupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jamaika squeezed past Guadeloupe 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Jamaika as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Jamaika had 48% of the ball to Guadeloupe's 52%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 0.80 to 2.12 — on chances, Guadeloupe could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Jamaika vs Guadeloupe?

Jamaika 2-1 Guadeloupe in the CONCACAF Gold Cup on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jamaika vs Guadeloupe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jamaika win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Jamaika 52%, draw 22%, Guadeloupe 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jamaika), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jamaika) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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GK More CONCACAF Gold Cup
21 Jun 2025
00:00 Guatemala vs Panama Analysis →