Gainare Tottori 2-1 Tochigi SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.09
No
64%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.2pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.3pp
36%
BTTS Yes
44%
-7.6pp
64%
BTTS No
56%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainare Tottori EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Tochigi SC EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.49/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.33
+32% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.3 Crosses 29.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainare Tottori
2-1
AWAY Tochigi SC
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
211 Passes 258
65% Pass Accuracy 67%
7 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainare Tottori squeezed past Tochigi SC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tochigi SC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gainare Tottori had 45% of the ball to Tochigi SC's 55%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC?

Gainare Tottori 2-1 Tochigi SC in the Japan - J3 League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainare Tottori vs Tochigi SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tochigi SC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gainare Tottori 28%, draw 26%, Tochigi SC 46%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tochigi SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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