21/06/2025
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-2
2nd Score
0-1
Riga United vs Marupe Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
16%
2-3
41%
4-5
28%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
50%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Marupe win — 69% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Away Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
17%
Home Win
10%
15%
Draw
14%
69%
Away Win
76%
37%
Under 2.5
30%
63%
Over 2.5
70%
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
52%
BTTS No
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Riga United v Marupe — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Riga United
The Market 13%
Head to Head
AWAY
Marupe
The Market 81%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
41%
Ball Possession
59%
10
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
7
4
Corners
6
328 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
431 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Riga United vs Marupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Marupe ran out comfortable winners over Riga United 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Marupe as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.
What was the final score of Riga United vs Marupe?
Riga United 0-3 Marupe in the Latvia - Cup on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Riga United vs Marupe?
Before kick-off our model rated an Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Riga United 17%, draw 15%, Marupe 69%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marupe), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Marupe)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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More Latvia - Cup
21 Jun 2025