Salaspils 4-5 Leevon / PPK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Cup, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
52%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
43%
4-5
20%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
9%
1/X
14%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
38%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
21%
Home Win
21%
+0.2pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.4pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-6.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-3.0pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salaspils The Market 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Leevon / PPK The Market 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
316 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Salaspils vs Leevon / PPK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leevon / PPK squeezed past Salaspils 5-4 away from home. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Leevon / PPK as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Salaspils vs Leevon / PPK?

Salaspils 4-5 Leevon / PPK in the Latvia - Cup on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salaspils vs Leevon / PPK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leevon / PPK win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Salaspils 21%, draw 27%, Leevon / PPK 52%. The final score 4-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leevon / PPK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leevon / PPK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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