Lietava Jonava 1-1 Zalgiris II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
20%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.3pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lietava Jonava EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 40%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
0.41/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.76/1.39
-72% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +115% / +7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lietava Jonava
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Zalgiris II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
31.10.2023 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava 0-4 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II LIT1
01.05.2023 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 1-3 HT 0-2 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
02.10.2021 Zalgiris II Zalgiris II 1-2 HT 1-0 Lietava Jonava Lietava Jonava LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lietava Jonava
1-1
AWAY Zalgiris II
35% Ball Possession 65%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lietava Jonava vs Zalgiris II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lietava Jonava and Zalgiris II shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lietava Jonava had 35% of the ball to Zalgiris II's 65%, shots finished 5-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lietava Jonava had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lietava Jonava and 2.00 for Zalgiris II.

What was the final score of Lietava Jonava vs Zalgiris II?

Lietava Jonava 1-1 Zalgiris II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lietava Jonava vs Zalgiris II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lietava Jonava 35%, draw 27%, Zalgiris II 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zalgiris II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zalgiris II) ✓ BTTS Yes
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