Nevezis 1-0 BFA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 21 Jun 2025

Nevezis
1-0 HT 1-0
BFA
📅21/06/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
53%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-1.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nevezis EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY BFA EU Bookmakers 59%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.07/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.16
+3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -11%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
249 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nevezis
1W-3D-2L
AWAY BFA
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2024 Nevezis Nevezis 2-2 HT 1-1 BFA BFA LIT1
13.04.2024 BFA BFA 2-1 HT 2-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
22.09.2023 Nevezis Nevezis 2-2 HT 1-1 BFA BFA LIT1
30.04.2023 BFA BFA 0-2 HT 0-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
24.09.2022 BFA BFA 1-1 HT 1-1 Nevezis Nevezis LIT1
01.04.2022 Nevezis Nevezis 0-2 HT 0-0 BFA BFA LIT1
POST-MATCH Nevezis vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nevezis nicked a narrow win over BFA 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was BFA at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFA led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Nevezis and 1.50 for BFA.

What was the final score of Nevezis vs BFA?

Nevezis 1-0 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nevezis vs BFA?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFA win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Nevezis 24%, draw 23%, BFA 53%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (BFA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LIT1 More Lithuania - 1st Division
21 Jun 2025
14:00 Tauras Taurage vs Kauno Zalgiris II Analysis →
15:00 Atmosfera vs Ekranas Analysis →
18:00 Lietava Jonava vs Zalgiris II Analysis →