Al Nejmeh 5-1 Tadamon Sour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.64
Over 2.5
56%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.33
No
44%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
63%
-1.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.5pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
57%
-13.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
43%
+13.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
39%
+17.5pp
44%
BTTS No
61%
-17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Tadamon Sour EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.52/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.32
-76% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +150%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nejmeh
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Tadamon Sour
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
07.05.2025 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh LUBN
07.02.2025 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh 1-0 HT 0-0 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour LUBN
POST-MATCH Al Nejmeh vs Tadamon Sour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nejmeh cruised past Tadamon Sour 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Al Nejmeh as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Nejmeh had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Nejmeh and 0.50 for Tadamon Sour.

What was the final score of Al Nejmeh vs Tadamon Sour?

Al Nejmeh 5-1 Tadamon Sour in the Lebanon - Premier League on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nejmeh vs Tadamon Sour?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nejmeh win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Nejmeh 62%, draw 22%, Tadamon Sour 17%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nejmeh), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nejmeh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
21 Jun 2025
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