Raufoss 6-1 Hodd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 21 Jun 2025

Raufoss
6-1 HT 3-1
Hodd
📅21/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.1
Over 2.5
43%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.84
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
2.99
6+ Goals
11%
9.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 32% vs market 20.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.7pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Hodd EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.29/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.49
-18% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Hodd
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 0-1 HT 0-0 Hodd Hodd NOR1
10.04.2023 Hodd Hodd 1-0 HT 0-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
21.08.2016 Raufoss Raufoss 2-0 HT 0-0 Hodd Hodd NOR1
05.06.2016 Hodd Hodd 1-0 HT 0-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
27.06.2004 Raufoss Raufoss 2-3 HT 1-2 Hodd Hodd NOR1
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Hodd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raufoss ran out comfortable winners over Hodd 6-1. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Raufoss as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hodd led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Raufoss and 1.20 for Hodd.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Hodd?

Raufoss 6-1 Hodd in the Norway - 1st Division on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Hodd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raufoss win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 42%, draw 24%, Hodd 34%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raufoss) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Raufoss) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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