Start 5-1 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 21 Jun 2025

📅21/06/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.43
No
37%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.0pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
66%
-2.3pp
37%
BTTS No
34%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Start EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.75/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/2.17
-2% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Start
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stabaek
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.94 xG 0.82
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 326
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 Stabaek Stabaek 2-3 HT 1-2 Start Start NOR1
16.06.2024 Start Start 4-3 HT 2-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
21.08.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 5-0 HT 2-0 Start Start NOR1
19.06.2022 Start Start 0-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
27.09.2020 Stabaek Stabaek 2-0 HT 0-0 Start Start NOR
26.07.2020 Start Start 0-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Start
5-1
AWAY Stabaek
47% Ball Possession 53%
17 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Start vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Start swept aside Stabaek 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Start as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Start had 47% of the ball to Stabaek's 53%, shots finished 17-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Start and 2.00 for Stabaek.

What was the final score of Start vs Stabaek?

Start 5-1 Stabaek in the Norway - 1st Division on 21/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Start vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Start win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Start 46%, draw 27%, Stabaek 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Start), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Start) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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