Stabaek 2-3 Start — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.52
2-3 Goals
40%
2.13
4-5 Goals
26%
2.51
6+ Goals
15%
5.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.3pp
28%
Away Win
28%
-0.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.3pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Start EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -27%
2.42/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.66
+37% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Start
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
329 Passes 292
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.06.2024 Start Start 4-3 HT 2-1 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
21.08.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 5-0 HT 2-0 Start Start NOR1
19.06.2022 Start Start 0-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
27.09.2020 Stabaek Stabaek 2-0 HT 0-0 Start Start NOR
26.07.2020 Start Start 0-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
08.07.2018 Start Start 2-1 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek
2-3
AWAY Start
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stabaek vs Start
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Start nicked a narrow win over Stabaek 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stabaek at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Stabaek had 52% of the ball to Start's 48%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Stabaek and 1.00 for Start.

What was the final score of Stabaek vs Start?

Stabaek 2-3 Start in the Norway - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Start?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 47%, draw 25%, Start 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stabaek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stabaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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