Kongsvinger 1-5 Aalesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

Kongsvinger
1-5 HT 0-4
Aalesund
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Kongsvinger vs Aalesund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
12%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 29% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-5.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kongsvinger v Aalesund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.75/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.76
+7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Kongsvinger vs Aalesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongsvinger
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Aalesund
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
The Meetings
09.06.2024 Aalesund Aalesund 4-4 HT 3-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
14.09.2019 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-1 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
06.04.2019 Aalesund Aalesund 1-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
16.09.2018 Aalesund Aalesund 2-1 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
28.04.2018 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-3 HT 0-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
19.09.2010 Aalesund Aalesund 2-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger vs Aalesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund swept aside Kongsvinger 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kongsvinger at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalesund led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kongsvinger and 2.17 for Aalesund.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger vs Aalesund?

Kongsvinger 1-5 Aalesund in the Norway - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger vs Aalesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger 41%, draw 28%, Aalesund 31%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kongsvinger), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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