21/09/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-1
Bryne vs Valerenga Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88
— our 25% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
26%
24%
Draw
25%
44%
Away Win
49%
50%
Under 2.5
45%
50%
Over 2.5
55%
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
48%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bryne v Valerenga — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bryne
EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Valerenga
EU Bookmakers 53%
+1% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+27% /
+27%
1.10/1.18
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.59/0.60
-20%
/
+53%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+32%
/
+126%
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
323 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
374 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.4
Yellow Cards
0.8
Bryne vs Valerenga Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Bryne
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Valerenga
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
47%
Ball Possession
53%
16
Total Shots
15
6
Shots on Target
8
5
Corners
6
1
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Bryne vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bryne and Valerenga shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Valerenga at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Bryne vs Valerenga?
Bryne 1-1 Valerenga in the Norway - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bryne vs Valerenga?
Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bryne 32%, draw 24%, Valerenga 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valerenga) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Valerenga)
✓ BTTS Yes
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21 Sep 2024