Levanger 0-1 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 28% vs market 21.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levanger EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
2.19/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.48
+24% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levanger
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Raufoss
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.07.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 0-3 HT 0-1 Levanger Levanger NOR1
23.10.2016 Raufoss Raufoss 0-6 HT 0-3 Levanger Levanger NOR1
08.05.2016 Levanger Levanger 3-0 HT 2-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levanger
0-1
AWAY Raufoss
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Levanger vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raufoss nicked a narrow win over Levanger 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Levanger at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Levanger had 46% of the ball to Raufoss's 54%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Levanger had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Levanger and 0.00 for Raufoss.

What was the final score of Levanger vs Raufoss?

Levanger 0-1 Raufoss in the Norway - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levanger vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levanger win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Levanger 46%, draw 25%, Raufoss 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Levanger) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Levanger) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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