Sandnes Ulf 1-0 Sogndal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
46%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.4
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.94
6+ Goals
12%
8.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
46%
Away Win
46%
-0.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandnes Ulf EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sogndal EU Bookmakers 50%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.54/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.50
+5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
252 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandnes Ulf
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Sogndal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 5-1 HT 4-0 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
06.08.2023 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 1-2 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
15.04.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 1-0 HT 1-0 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
04.08.2022 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 6-0 HT 2-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
29.05.2022 Sogndal Sogndal 1-2 HT 1-1 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
29.10.2021 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 0-2 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandnes Ulf
1-0
AWAY Sogndal
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sandnes Ulf vs Sogndal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandnes Ulf edged past Sogndal 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sogndal at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sandnes Ulf had 40% of the ball to Sogndal's 60%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sogndal led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sandnes Ulf and 1.83 for Sogndal.

What was the final score of Sandnes Ulf vs Sogndal?

Sandnes Ulf 1-0 Sogndal in the Norway - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandnes Ulf vs Sogndal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sogndal win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sandnes Ulf 28%, draw 26%, Sogndal 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sogndal) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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