Ranheim 1-0 Moss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 21 Sep 2024

Ranheim
1-0 HT 1-0
Moss
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
19%
3.2
6+ Goals
9%
10.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.84 — our 32% vs market 20.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.1pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ranheim EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Moss EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
1.82/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/1.54
+16% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ranheim
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Moss
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.04.2024 Moss Moss 2-1 HT 1-0 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
22.10.2023 Moss Moss 0-1 HT 0-0 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
04.06.2023 Ranheim Ranheim 2-1 HT 1-1 Moss Moss NOR1
26.09.2010 Ranheim Ranheim 1-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
05.08.2010 Moss Moss 1-3 HT 0-1 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
POST-MATCH Ranheim vs Moss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ranheim nicked a narrow win over Moss 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Ranheim found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ranheim had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Ranheim and 0.80 for Moss.

What was the final score of Ranheim vs Moss?

Ranheim 1-0 Moss in the Norway - 1st Division on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ranheim vs Moss?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ranheim 38%, draw 23%, Moss 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Moss) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Moss) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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