Moss 2-1 Ranheim — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 15 Apr 2024

Moss
2-1 HT 1-0
Ranheim
📅15/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
31%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.32
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.98
6+ Goals
12%
8.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
31%
Away Win
35%
-4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.5pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ranheim EU Bookmakers 39%
+19% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.90/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.51
+18% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Ranheim
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 2
0 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
22.10.2023 Moss Moss 0-1 HT 0-0 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
04.06.2023 Ranheim Ranheim 2-1 HT 1-1 Moss Moss NOR1
26.09.2010 Ranheim Ranheim 1-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
05.08.2010 Moss Moss 1-3 HT 0-1 Ranheim Ranheim NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moss
2-1
AWAY Ranheim
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
0 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Moss vs Ranheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss nicked a narrow win over Ranheim 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Moss found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Moss had 30% of the ball to Ranheim's 70%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ranheim led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Moss and 1.75 for Ranheim.

What was the final score of Moss vs Ranheim?

Moss 2-1 Ranheim in the Norway - 1st Division on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Ranheim?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Moss 40%, draw 29%, Ranheim 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moss), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moss) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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