Aalesund 0-3 Lyn Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
25%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.3pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyn Oslo EU Bookmakers 22%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
2.44/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+17% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +83%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Lyn Oslo
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
13.09.2009 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo 0-2 HT 0-2 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
16.05.2009 Aalesund Aalesund 2-0 HT 1-0 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo NOR
26.10.2008 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo 3-0 HT 1-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
30.07.2008 Aalesund Aalesund 1-4 HT 0-1 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo NOK
04.05.2008 Aalesund Aalesund 0-4 HT 0-2 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo NOR
02.09.2007 Aalesund Aalesund 3-1 HT 1-1 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo NOR
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Lyn Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyn Oslo ran out comfortable winners over Aalesund 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aalesund at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aalesund and 2.00 for Lyn Oslo.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Lyn Oslo?

Aalesund 0-3 Lyn Oslo in the Norway - 1st Division on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Lyn Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 52%, draw 26%, Lyn Oslo 22%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Aalesund), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aalesund) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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