Mjondalen 1-1 Start — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
20%
3.02
6+ Goals
10%
9.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.22 — our 29% vs market 18.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.5pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+10.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-10.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.9pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Start EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.66/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.24
+13% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjondalen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Start
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.94 xG 1.24
45% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
261 Passes 313
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
50 Box Touches 29
22 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 0
21.10.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 2-0 HT 1-0 Start Start NOR1
08.07.2023 Start Start 3-0 HT 1-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
24.07.2022 Mjondalen Mjondalen 0-0 HT 0-0 Start Start NOR1
11.04.2022 Start Start 1-1 HT 1-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
22.09.2021 Start Start 4-2 HT 1-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOK
06.12.2020 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-0 HT 0-0 Start Start NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjondalen
1-1
AWAY Start
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mjondalen vs Start
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjondalen and Start couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Mjondalen had 49% of the ball to Start's 51%, shots finished 11-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mjondalen and 1.33 for Start.

What was the final score of Mjondalen vs Start?

Mjondalen 1-1 Start in the Norway - 1st Division on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjondalen vs Start?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjondalen win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mjondalen 40%, draw 26%, Start 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mjondalen), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mjondalen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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