Sogndal 5-1 Sandnes Ulf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
21%
2.8
6+ Goals
13%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
53%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.7pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sogndal EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandnes Ulf EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
2.09/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.39
+10% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +19%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sogndal
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sandnes Ulf
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2023 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 1-2 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
15.04.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 1-0 HT 1-0 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
04.08.2022 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 6-0 HT 2-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
29.05.2022 Sogndal Sogndal 1-2 HT 1-1 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
29.10.2021 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 0-2 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
29.05.2021 Sogndal Sogndal 2-2 HT 1-2 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
POST-MATCH Sogndal vs Sandnes Ulf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogndal swept aside Sandnes Ulf 5-1. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sogndal as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sogndal had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sogndal and 1.83 for Sandnes Ulf.

What was the final score of Sogndal vs Sandnes Ulf?

Sogndal 5-1 Sandnes Ulf in the Norway - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Sandnes Ulf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sogndal win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 51%, draw 25%, Sandnes Ulf 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sogndal), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sogndal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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