Moss 3-3 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

Moss
3-3 HT 0-1
Stabaek
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.65
2-3 Goals
43%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.3pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.5pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.21/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.25/1.48
-18% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Stabaek
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
03.05.2018 Moss Moss 0-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOK
24.08.2005 Stabaek Stabaek 0-1 HT 0-1 Moss Moss NOR1
05.05.2005 Moss Moss 0-0 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
23.06.2004 Stabaek Stabaek 3-1 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Moss
3-3
AWAY Stabaek
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Moss vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss and Stabaek shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Moss had 53% of the ball to Stabaek's 47%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Moss and 0.75 for Stabaek.

What was the final score of Moss vs Stabaek?

Moss 3-3 Stabaek in the Norway - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Moss 37%, draw 23%, Stabaek 40%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stabaek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stabaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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