Kongsvinger 1-1 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
29%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
28%
Away Win
22%
+5.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 25%
-5% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.74/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.63
-10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongsvinger
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Raufoss
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.08.2023 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-3 HT 0-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
21.05.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 1-2 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
22.08.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 0-1 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
15.05.2022 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 4-1 HT 2-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
01.11.2020 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 3-3 HT 2-2 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
27.07.2020 Raufoss Raufoss 2-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger and Raufoss shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kongsvinger at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kongsvinger had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kongsvinger and 1.67 for Raufoss.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger vs Raufoss?

Kongsvinger 1-1 Raufoss in the Norway - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger 46%, draw 26%, Raufoss 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kongsvinger), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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