Asane 1-0 Start — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

Asane
1-0 HT 0-0
Start
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
4.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.98
6+ Goals
9%
9.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 25% vs market 18.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.2pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asane EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Start EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
1.83/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.35
+16% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asane
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Start
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.08.2023 Start Start 1-0 HT 1-0 Asane Asane NOR1
21.05.2023 Asane Asane 2-2 HT 0-1 Start Start NOR1
16.10.2022 Start Start 4-1 HT 1-0 Asane Asane NOR1
04.04.2022 Asane Asane 1-5 HT 0-2 Start Start NOR1
02.10.2021 Start Start 1-1 HT 1-0 Asane Asane NOR1
12.06.2021 Asane Asane 2-0 HT 1-0 Start Start NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asane
1-0
AWAY Start
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asane vs Start
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asane edged past Start 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Asane made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Asane had 50% of the ball to Start's 50%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Start led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Asane and 2.17 for Start.

What was the final score of Asane vs Start?

Asane 1-0 Start in the Norway - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asane vs Start?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asane win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Asane 38%, draw 25%, Start 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asane), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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