Aalesund 0-2 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.17
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.21
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.02
6+ Goals
15%
9.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
28%
+9.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-7.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.3pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Valerenga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.95 xG 1.52
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
302 Passes 438
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
17.09.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 3-1 HT 1-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
10.04.2023 Aalesund Aalesund 0-1 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
07.08.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 4-0 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
19.06.2022 Aalesund Aalesund 2-2 HT 1-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
21.11.2020 Aalesund Aalesund 1-1 HT 1-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
04.07.2020 Valerenga Valerenga 2-2 HT 0-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aalesund
0-2
AWAY Valerenga
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga saw off Aalesund 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 23% / 40%) promised a tight game; Valerenga found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aalesund had 49% of the ball to Valerenga's 51%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aalesund and 2.17 for Valerenga.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Valerenga?

Aalesund 0-2 Valerenga in the Norway - 1st Division on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Valerenga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 37%, draw 23%, Valerenga 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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