Valerenga 1-0 Bryne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.89
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
30%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.16 — our 30% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bryne EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
1-0
AWAY Bryne
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Bryne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga nicked a narrow win over Bryne 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Valerenga had 53% of the ball to Bryne's 47%, shots finished 15-16.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Bryne?

Valerenga 1-0 Bryne in the Norway - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Bryne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 49%, draw 21%, Bryne 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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