Raufoss 1-0 Asane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.92
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
3.16
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.92 — our 28% vs market 20.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.2pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.0pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Asane EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -6%
1.31/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.65
-28% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Asane
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Asane Asane 3-1 HT 2-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
03.05.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 0-0 HT 0-0 Asane Asane NOR1
10.10.2022 Asane Asane 1-0 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
30.05.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 1-0 HT 0-0 Asane Asane NOR1
27.11.2021 Raufoss Raufoss 1-1 HT 0-0 Asane Asane NOR1
25.05.2021 Asane Asane 2-1 HT 0-1 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Asane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raufoss edged past Asane 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Raufoss as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asane led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Raufoss and 1.17 for Asane.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Asane?

Raufoss 1-0 Asane in the Norway - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Asane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raufoss win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 42%, draw 28%, Asane 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raufoss), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Raufoss) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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