Egersunds 1-1 Lyn Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

Egersunds
1-1 HT 0-1
Lyn Oslo
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Norway - 1st Division – 2024

Egersunds vs Lyn Oslo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
40%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.28
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
19%
2.99
6+ Goals
9%
9.13
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.28 — our 30% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
43%
-9.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
40%
Away Win
32%
+7.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.5pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Egersunds v Lyn Oslo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Egersunds EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyn Oslo EU Bookmakers 36%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.06
+84% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Egersunds vs Lyn Oslo Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Egersunds
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Lyn Oslo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
The Meetings
12.08.2023 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo 2-1 HT 1-1 Egersunds Egersunds NOR3
23.04.2023 Egersunds Egersunds 2-1 HT 0-1 Lyn Oslo Lyn Oslo NOR3
POST-MATCH Egersunds vs Lyn Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Egersunds and Lyn Oslo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Egersunds and 1.50 for Lyn Oslo.

What was the final score of Egersunds vs Lyn Oslo?

Egersunds 1-1 Lyn Oslo in the Norway - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Egersunds vs Lyn Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyn Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Egersunds 33%, draw 27%, Lyn Oslo 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lyn Oslo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyn Oslo) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR1 More Norway - 1st Division
4 May 2024
17:00 Levanger vs Sogndal Analysis →
17:00 Start vs Ranheim Analysis →
17:00 Valerenga vs Bryne Analysis →
17:00 Raufoss vs Asane Analysis →
17:00 Mjondalen vs Aalesund Analysis →
17:00 Sandnes Ulf vs Moss Analysis →