Mjondalen 1-1 Aalesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.23
Over 2.5
60%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.53
No
38%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
30%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
61%
+1.0pp
38%
BTTS No
39%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +16%
1.56/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.53
-5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjondalen
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Aalesund
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.32 xG 1.20
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
243 Passes 308
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2020 Mjondalen Mjondalen 3-0 HT 3-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
01.07.2020 Aalesund Aalesund 1-3 HT 0-2 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR
25.09.2018 Mjondalen Mjondalen 2-0 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
06.05.2018 Aalesund Aalesund 2-1 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
01.11.2015 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-2 HT 0-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
05.07.2015 Aalesund Aalesund 4-2 HT 0-2 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjondalen
1-1
AWAY Aalesund
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mjondalen vs Aalesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjondalen and Aalesund shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Mjondalen had 53% of the ball to Aalesund's 47%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mjondalen and 1.50 for Aalesund.

What was the final score of Mjondalen vs Aalesund?

Mjondalen 1-1 Aalesund in the Norway - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjondalen vs Aalesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjondalen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mjondalen 38%, draw 27%, Aalesund 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mjondalen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mjondalen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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