Sandnes Ulf 3-3 Moss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
28%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.06
2-3 Goals
43%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.74
6+ Goals
10%
7.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-7.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.6pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandnes Ulf EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Moss EU Bookmakers 39%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
1.79/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.05
+13% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +45%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandnes Ulf
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Moss
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 2-0 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOR1
07.05.2023 Moss Moss 1-0 HT 0-0 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
22.09.2021 Moss Moss 1-7 HT 1-4 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOK
15.08.2010 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf 1-2 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOR1
05.04.2010 Moss Moss 1-0 HT 0-0 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
03.08.2008 Moss Moss 2-4 HT 1-4 Sandnes Ulf Sandnes Ulf NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandnes Ulf
3-3
AWAY Moss
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sandnes Ulf vs Moss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandnes Ulf and Moss couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sandnes Ulf at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sandnes Ulf had 42% of the ball to Moss's 58%, shots finished 14-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sandnes Ulf and 1.17 for Moss.

What was the final score of Sandnes Ulf vs Moss?

Sandnes Ulf 3-3 Moss in the Norway - 1st Division on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandnes Ulf vs Moss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandnes Ulf win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sandnes Ulf 43%, draw 29%, Moss 28%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sandnes Ulf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sandnes Ulf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR1 More Norway - 1st Division
4 May 2024
17:00 Levanger vs Sogndal Analysis →
17:00 Start vs Ranheim Analysis →
17:00 Valerenga vs Bryne Analysis →
17:00 Egersunds vs Lyn Oslo Analysis →
17:00 Raufoss vs Asane Analysis →
17:00 Mjondalen vs Aalesund Analysis →