Aalesund 4-4 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.43
No
42%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.51
2-3 Goals
36%
2.01
4-5 Goals
29%
2.65
6+ Goals
16%
6.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+4.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
66%
-7.9pp
42%
BTTS No
34%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Kongsvinger
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
14.09.2019 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-1 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
06.04.2019 Aalesund Aalesund 1-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
16.09.2018 Aalesund Aalesund 2-1 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
28.04.2018 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-3 HT 0-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
19.09.2010 Aalesund Aalesund 2-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR
05.04.2010 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-2 HT 1-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund and Kongsvinger shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kongsvinger at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aalesund had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aalesund and 0.67 for Kongsvinger.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Kongsvinger?

Aalesund 4-4 Kongsvinger in the Norway - 1st Division on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 27%, draw 23%, Kongsvinger 50%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kongsvinger) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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