Valerenga 5-1 Moss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 9 Jun 2024

📅09/06/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.4
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
22%
2.68
6+ Goals
17%
6.56
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-9.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.2pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Moss EU Bookmakers 25%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.26/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.91
-35% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
383 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
5-1
AWAY Moss
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Moss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga swept aside Moss 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valerenga as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Valerenga had 43% of the ball to Moss's 57%, shots finished 14-10.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Moss?

Valerenga 5-1 Moss in the Norway - 1st Division on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Moss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 47%, draw 23%, Moss 30%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valerenga), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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