09/06/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Sogndal vs Egersunds Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
26%
Draw
23%
32%
Away Win
29%
48%
Under 2.5
34%
52%
Over 2.5
66%
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
44%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sogndal v Egersunds — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sogndal
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Egersunds
EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+33% /
+33%
1.58/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.40/2.61
-12%
/
+24%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+149%
/
-39%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
272 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
340 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.6
Yellow Cards
1.8
POST-MATCH
Sogndal vs Egersunds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sogndal and Egersunds couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Sogndal at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Sogndal vs Egersunds?
Sogndal 2-2 Egersunds in the Norway - 1st Division on 09/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Egersunds?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sogndal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 43%, draw 26%, Egersunds 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sogndal) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Sogndal)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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NOR1
More Norway - 1st Division
9 Jun 2024